The End of the World Is Just the Beginning

Mapping the Collapse of Globalization

Zeihan, Peter 저자(글)

Harper Business · 2022년 06월 14일

책 소개

2019 was the last great year for the world economy.

For generations, everything has been getting faster, better, and cheaper. Finally, we reached the point that almost anything you could ever want could be sent to your home within days - even hours - of when you decided you wanted it.
America made that happen, but now America has lost interest in keeping it going.
Globe-spanning supply chains are only possible with the protection of the U.S. Navy. The American dollar underpins internationalized energy and financial markets. Complex, innovative industries were created to satisfy American consumers. American security policy forced warring nations to lay down their arms. Billions of people have been fed and educated as the American-led trade system spread across the globe.
All of this was artificial. All this was temporary. All this is ending.
In The End of the World is Just the Beginning, author and geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan maps out the next world: a world where countries or regions will have no choice but to make their own goods, grow their own food, secure their own energy, fight their own battles, and do it all with populations that are both shrinking and aging.
The list of countries that make it all work is smaller than you think. Which means everything about our interconnected world - from how we manufacture products, to how we grow food, to how we keep the lights on, to how we shuttle stuff about, to how we pay for it all - is about to change.
In customary Zeihan fashion, rather than yelling fire in the geoeconomic theatre, he narrates the accumulation of matchsticks, gasoline, and dynamite in the hands of the oblivious audience, suggesting we might want to call the fire department.
A world ending. A world beginning. Zeihan brings readers along for an illuminating (and a bit terrifying) ride packed with foresight, wit, and his trademark irreverence.

작가정보

저자(글) Zeihan, Peter

Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical strategist and the founder of the consulting firm Zeihan on Geopolitics. His clients include energy corporations, financial institutions, business associations, agricultural interests, universities, and the U.S. military. He is the author of The Accidental Superpower and The Absent Superpower. He lives in Colorado.

목차

• Chapter Page
  Introduction 1
  Section I The End of an Era
  How the Beginning Began 9
  Enter the Accidental Superpower 25
  And Now for Something Completely Different 36
  The Story of … Us 42
  History Speeds Up 47
  Learning a Scary Word 62
  The End of More 68
  Messy, Messy Models 80
  The Last Bits of More 89
  A Quick Note from the Author … and Moscow 105
  Section II Transport
  The Long, Long Road 109
  Breaking Free: Industrializing Transport 117
  The Americanization of Trade 123
  The Great Unmaking 136
  Harbors in the Storm 148
  Section III Finance
  Currencies: Navigating the Road Less Traveled 163
  Adventures in Capital 179
  Disaster Is Relative 195
  The End of More, Redux: Demographics and Capital 199
  A Credit Compendium 204
  Finagling Future Financing Failures 211
  Section IV Energy
  Harpooning Progress 221
  The Order's Order for Oil 228
  The Map of Oil: Contemporary Edition 232
  There's More to Oil than Oil 249
  Fueling the Future 276
  Section V Industrial Materials
  Disassembling History 281
  The Essential Materials 291
  The Future Materials 297
  The Always Materials 302
  The Funky Materials 307
  The Reliable Materials 311
  This Is How the World Ends 319
  Section VI Manufacturing
  Crafting the World We Know 323
  The Map of the Present 335
  The Map of the Future 351
  Manufacturing a New World 374
  Section VII Agriculture
  What's at Stake 391
  The Geopolitics of Vulnerability 404
  Avoiding-or Accepting-the Worst 416
  Mitigating Famine 424
  Expanding the Diet, Shrinking the Diet 432
  Agriculture and Climate Change 442
  Feeding a New World 457
  The Long Ride of the Third Horseman 469
  Epilogue 471
  Acknowledgments 477
  Index 483

출판사 서평

“Peter Zeihan is the Nostradamus of the twenty-first century. Using geography as his analytical foundation, he’s able to explain why nations behave the way they do today, and predict with astounding accuracy how they’ll behave tomorrow. Nowhere will you find a more objective and logical examination of geopolitical currents. A masterful blend of economics, demographics, environmental factors, cultural propellers, and realpolitik. The world is changing, especially America’s role in it, and Peter navigates this journey with clarity, rigor, and wit. If your passion is politics, investing, energy, technology, international relations or just being interesting at parties, read Peter’s book.” — Jesse Watters

“Peter Zeihan’s latest work projects a future that will challenge your assumptions on how the world works, what nations are best postured to prosper, and which are fragile. The world he envisions is fraught with danger as powers rise and ebb, but not without opportunity. A worthy read to flesh out your worldview.” — Major General Patrick Donahoe, commanding general, U.S. Army Maneuver Center of Excellence

“I’ve never been so upbeat about the end of the world. Deeply researched, powerfully argued, and well written. Zeihan stitches together insights from economic geography, demography, and history to give us an original yet intuitive theory of geopolitics.” — Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group

“From time to time, we hear how ‘everything is going to change.’ None of us ever believe it. Now I do.” — Bill Owens, former governor of Colorado

“Peter Zeihan has done it again! The End of the World Is Just the Beginning offers a glimpse of the future by looking to the past. The geopolitics and demography that gave us our ‘perfect moment’ in history is passing. What is in store for us and generations to come? Move Zeihan’s latest to the top of your stack and find out.” — Jack Carr, former Navy SEAL sniper and number one New York Times bestselling author of In the Blood

“I found Peter Zeihan’s description of the future to be both plausible and provocative. Regardless of the details of how the next decades unfold, Zeihan’s book convinced me that it is at our own peril that we assume the future will look just like the present. Now more than ever, all our children—regardless of race—need to be equipped with a portable and flexible skill set that will enable them to adapt to circumstances and opportunities that we can’t even imagine right now.” — Robert L. Woodson Sr., founder and president of the Woodson Center, 1776 Unites, Voices of Black Mothers United

기본정보

ISBN	9780063230477 ( 006323047X )
발행(출시)일자	2022년 06월 14일
쪽수	512쪽
크기	158 * 227 * 417 mm / 680 g
총권수	1권
언어	영어